The Eurasia Group, a United States political risk consultancy corporation in its annual risk report has described Nigeria’s President Mohammadu Buhari as too sick and lacks the energy and creativity to solve Nigeria’s problems.
Nigeria was ranked 10th position in the group’s Top 10 risk report with extensive focus on Nigeria’s February 2019 elections.
The report described President Buhari as “an elderly, infirm leader who lacks the energy, creativity, or political savvy to move the needle on Nigeria’s most intractable problems.”
Describing Buhari as the front-runner, the report warned that “A second term for him would mean the country at best muddles through the next four years, with little progress on critical policy priorities like tax reform or a restructuring of the energy sector.”
Eurasia noted that if Buhari’s health problems persist; it could negatively impact the economic situation of Nigeria with investors unsure of “who is calling the shots and whether they’re qualified for the job.”
“A politically weak president, for health or other reasons, would open the floodgates for political infighting, increasing the chances that his ruling All Progressives Congress implodes.
“That would turn a policy slowdown into paralysis. The risk of attacks on oil infrastructure would also rise because the absence of strong leadership in Abuja would make it harder to negotiate with the Niger Delta’s various militant groups,” the Eurasia risk report said.
The report predicted that the “election will be close, and a challenged or inconclusive result is possible.”
Eurasia also made a damming prediction against the leading opposition candidate, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).
While acknowledging the effort of Atiku to campaign on his mantra “Get Nigeria Working Again”, the report predicted that former vice president “would focus on enriching himself and his cronies, avoiding the difficult and politically unpopular tasks necessary for reform” if he wins the election.